dijous, 25 de setembre de 2014

THE WORLD ENDS THIS WEEKEND - PROFECIES VON SOARES Adapting to Climate Change Thresholds, Values, Governance Making adaptation happen for the common good Adaptation has always taken place, and is likely to continue doing so. Human beings have been able to adapt to changing environments and societies, surviving and flourishing overall. However, if we hold a lens to the adaptation process and analyse it further in detail, it becomes clear that environmental and social change does not affect everyone equally. Less resilient communities – and more vulnerable individuals – can be severely affected by change, thus limiting their opportunities for adaptation. The prospect of climatic changes of greater magnitude and frequency than those experienced throughout most of human history beg the question of whether adaptation is possible and how adaptation to present and future changes may be facilitated. In very simple terms, adaptation entails an adjustment to changing conditions. On a social level, this can be interpreted as some form of cognitive or behavioural response at individual and collective levels, both being invariably entwined. Understanding adaptation in the context of climate change requires careful consideration of two dimensions: scale (Who is responding where, to what?) and purpose (Why are we responding? What are the aims of adaptation?). Let us consider these in turn. Adaptation occurs at different but related levels. Policies shaped by national and international circumstances set objectives to be achieved at local and regional levels. Individuals and organisations however do not operate in isolation. Interpretation of information and its translation into decisions and behaviours are affected by social context, individual characteristics and direct experiences. In other words, adaptation is a multi-scalar process of multi-level governance, concerned with the interaction of individual and collective behaviours acting from the bottom–up and the top–down in response to changinG ...Climate change and agricultural regime shifts In terms of limiting the ability of humans to adapt to climate change, it is the transformation of much of the Earth’s terrestrial surface to agricultural lands that is likely to be the most substantial. Not only does it represent a massive modification of Earth’s ecological functioning, but its continuation is considered to be essential for human well-being. Agricultural ecosystems cover an estimated 40% of Earth’s surface, but they also create impacts on other ecosystems. One of the major ways that agriculture affects distant ecosystems is through its modification of global water flows. Agriculture does this in some obvious ways. About two-thirds of the water removed from rivers is used for irrigation (Scanlon et al., 2007), and the water that flows from agricultural lands into rivers and lakes carries with it agricultural fertilizers that reduce water quality in aquatic ecosystems (Bennett et al., 2001; Galloway et al., 2004). However, less obviously, agriculture alters atmospheric flows of water due to the impacts of irrigation and deforestation on global evapotranspiration (Gordon et al., 2005). It is via both direct and indirect impacts on other ecosystems that agriculture has increased the supply of desired ecosystem services, such as food and fibre, but at the same time led to unintended declines in non-agricultural ecosystem services, such as fisheries, flood regulation and downstream recreational opportunities ( Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005). Managing trade-offs is difficult due to the social and ecological complexities involved, and managing them will be made even more difficult in a changing climate. However, while these changes would be difficult to cope with even if gradual and predictable, ecological research suggests that declines in ecosystem services may also be abrupt and surprising – and difficult to reverse. Abrupt changes in ecosystem services can occur due to shifts between different ecosystem regimes, and this presents a substantial challenge to ecosystem management and development goals Characterisation of adaptation options Table 3.2 summarises adaptation options that have been identified by water companies, the Environment Agency, pressure groups and local councils as potentially feasible in the Medway catchment. Some of these are specific resource schemes (which will also serve other catchments), whilst others are options applicable to water resources more generally. Many of these options have been incorporated into the Water Resources Management Plans of the water companies responsible for water resources in the Medway catchment. The complex responsibility for water resources in the catchment means it is necessary to consider schemes across the Kent region. The table provides indicative estimates of the potential contribution of each option, where these are available (estimates are in many cases very generalised, and not to be taken too literally Decision pathways and defining adaptation thresholds It has been clear from the outset of TE 2100 that to deal with uncertainty associated with the likely effects of climate change there was a need to move away from reactive flood defence towards the proactive adaptive management of future flood risk. Historically, London’s flood defences have been raised and improved in the aftermath of various flood catastrophes – typically to a height just above that of the flood that had just been experienced. These incremental raisings can be readily seen in many of the flood walls flanking the River Thames, whose present-day crest height was largely defined by the 1953 flood event. The proactive management of risk promoted within TE 2100 sees a series of timed interventions seeking to manage flood risk within an acceptable zone. This vision recognises that if the risk were to be left unmanaged, it would increase in the future as the impacts of climate change along with development pressures on the floodplain become more acute and as the asset base deteriorates with time (Figure 4.1). However, through the implementation of risk management responses at different points in the century, this risk can be managed within the appropriate bounds. The appropriate bound for flood risk is largely determined through interpretation of the government’s guidance on flood risk management and will include an element of cost–benefit analysis.

 Discussion: five key factors in shaping vulnerability
Emerging from the results above are five key factors that shape vulnerability to the
effects of heat waves among the participants of this study. This section explores
these factors in more detail.

Many elderly do not recognise their vulnerability

It has been argued that at the international level, standards of responsibility and
accountability tend to be defined by prevailing ideological paradigms, hampering
drives to create institutions for global environmental governance based on shared
ethics, justice and equity considerations (Okereke, 2008). It appears that although
there are diverse forms of governance that could be combined into novel hybridised
forms, adaptable and flexible to context-specific needs and changing circumstances,
the prevalent drive appears to denote an incremental change of the status
quo

Responses
In all, a total of 17 engineering adaptation responses to rising sea levels were
modelled, including the existing system of defences and modification to the way
this is operated. For each of the 17 engineering responses, it was also possible to
assess the effect of raising defences. Table 4.1 provides a brief description of the
17 scenarios of responses used in the model.
Model simulations
Model simulations were undertaken using the ISIS one-dimensional hydrodynamic
river modelling software (www.halcrow.com/isis). The models were schematised as
in-bank, meaning water did not spill out onto the floodplain. This meant that the
results for each scenario could be reused to define overtopping thresholds for different
defence levels. Once the simulations were completed, the maximum water levels
from each design event were extracted and stored in a spreadsheet, which was then
used to facilitate analysis. Various overtopping thresholds were then calculated for
each response, both with defences at current levels, and with defences raised by 1 m.
Assumptions
The large number of engineering adaptation responses, combined with the many
potential future extreme sea levels, necessitated that a series of assumptions be
made in order to keep the study to a manageable size. Are there limits to climate prediction?
The accuracy of climate predictions is limited by fundamental, irreducible uncertainties.
Uncertainty means that more than one outcome is consistent with expectations.
For climate prediction, uncertainties can arise from limitations in knowledge
(for example, cloud physics), from randomness (for example, due to the chaotic
nature of the climate system), and also from intentionality, as decisions made by
people can have significant effects on future climate and on future vulnerability (for
example, future greenhouse gas emissions, population, economic growth, development
etc.). Some of these uncertainties can be quantified, but many simply cannot,
meaning that there is some level of irreducible ignorance in our understandings of
future climate (Dessai and Hulme, 2004).
A ‘cascade’ or ‘explosion’ of uncertainty arises when conducting climate change
impact assessments for the purposes of making national and local adaptation decisions
(Jones, 2000). In climate projections used for the development of long-term adaptation strategies, uncertainties from the various levels of the assessment
accumulate. For example, there are uncertainties associated with future emissions
of greenhouse gases and aerosol precursors, uncertainties about the response of the
climate system to these changes (due to structural, parameter and initial conditions
uncertainty) and uncertainties about impact modelling and the spatial and temporal
distributions of impacts. Wilby (2005) has shown that the uncertainty associated
with impact models (in his case a water resources model) arising from the
choice of model calibration period, model structure, and non-uniqueness of model
parameter sets, can be substantial and comparable in magnitude to the uncertainty
in greenhouse gas emissions.
Recent increases in computational power have allowed the partial quantification
of model uncertainty in climate projections using techniques such as perturbedphysics
ensembles (Stainforth et al., 2005), multi-model ensembles (Tebaldi and
Knutti, 2007), statistical emulators (Rougier and Sexton, 2007) and other techniques.
This has partially moved the science from deterministic climate projections
to probabilistic climate projections, but the interpretation of the latter are
much disputed (Stainforth et al., 2007). Most of this work is done with GCMs of
coarse resolution (for example 300–500 km grids), but ensembles of regional climate
model simulations (for example 25–100 km grids) are also being developed
(Murphy et al., 2007, which includes the next set of national UK climate scenarios,
UKCIP 09). Studies that have propagated these various uncertainties for the purposes
of adaptation assessments (sometimes called end-to-end analysis) have found
large uncertainty ranges in climate impacts (Whitehead et al., 2006; Wilby and
Harris, 2006; Dessai and Hulme, 2007; New et al., 2007). They have also found
that the impacts are highly conditional on assumptions made in the assessment,
for example with respect to weightings of GCMs (according to some criteria, such
as performance against past observations) or to the combination of GCMs used.
Some have cautioned that the use of probabilistic climate information may misrepresent
uncertainty and therefore lead to bad a daptation decisions (Hall, 2007). Hall
(2007) warns that improper consideration of the residual uncertainties of probabilistic
climate information (which is always incomplete and conditional) in optimization
exercises, could lead to maladaptation and be far from optimal.
Future prospects for reducing these large uncertainties are limited for several
reasons. Only part of the modelled uncertainty space has been explored up to now
(due to computational expense) so uncertainty in predictions is likely to increase
even as computational power increases. It has proved elusive to find ‘objective’
constraints with which to reduce the uncertainty in predictions (see Allen and
Frame, 2007; Roe and Baker, 2007, in the context of climate sensitivity). The problem
of equifinality (sometimes also called the problem of ‘model identifiability’
or ‘
non-uniqueness’) – that many different model structures and many different parameter sets of a model can produce similar observed behaviour of the system
under study – has rarely been addressed in climate change studies except in some
impact sectors such as water resources (see, for example, Wilby, 2005).
It is also important to recognize that when considering adaptation, climate is only
one of many processes that influence outcomes, sometimes important in certain
decision contexts, other times not (Adger et al., 2007). Many of the other processes
(for example, globalization, economic priorities, regulation, cultural preferences
etc.) are not considered to be amenable to prediction. This raises the question of why
climate should be treated differently, or why accuracy in one element of a complex
and dynamic system would be of benefit given that other important elements are
fundamentally unpredictable. One answer is that we currently live in a society with
a strong emphasis on science- and evidence-based policy-making. This has led
predictive scientific modelling to be elevated above other evidence base because it
can be measured and because of its claimed predictive power



dimecres, 24 de setembre de 2014

A bored, Mourinho da Costa burnt-out athlete/socialite's quest for meaning in a decaying society full of unproductive hedonists. Roller Coaster World by Kenneth Bulmer 3.33 of 5 stars 3.33 · rating details · 9 ratings · 1 review Parsloe's Planet was in its death throes. A world of mobile cities, the populace had moved frantically from radiation site to radiation site - for without this life-giving radiation the inevitable result would be insanity and death. Now the radiation was failing. Soon it would be no more. The planet was going to die. But into the chaos and agony of the dying planet comes Mourinho da Costa: an outcast, a renegade - and the only man who can save the stricken world. City Under the Sea by Kenneth Bulmer 3.33 of 5 stars 3.33 · rating details · 6 ratings · 0 reviews Jeremy Dodge knew the Earth would face starvation if it were not for the new science of "aquaculture". With the world's population numbering many billions, only the extra food being cultivated on the bottom of the sea could feed everyone. But, like the rest of the surface-dwellers, Jeremy did not know what a vicious monopoly underwater cultivation had become. That is, until the dreadful moment when he himself was kidnapped and dragged beneath the depths. And there he was to learn that just making his own escape would not be enough - he would have to save mankind from the tyranny of a new race of water-breathing human monsters!Gigantic were The Demons who terrorized the underground kingdom of Archon. Yet, who were they? Whence came their fantastic power? Why did they wage ruthless and relentless war against Archon? These were questions to which there was no answer until Stead arrived in Archon, apparently from nowhere. Only after he had been a Forager for some months, and had experienced the spine-chilling dangers of The Outside did Stead arrive at a solution. Even then he had a difficult task convincing the Controllers, who, for generations, had insulated themselves against the harsh truth. Only those who had actually seen The Outside - the Foragers, HUNTERS CONTROLERS FOOD QUARRY'S Soldiers and Workers - could properly understand EMPIRE OF ARCHON 'Helpless as the phantom forces of the Savanti and the Star Lords clash, Dray Prescot is swept once more from Earth to fulfil another gruesome task beneath the twin suns of Kregan. Will he be sent to Zair, where the red-sun deity reigns or to Grodno, land of the green-sun god where the evil overlords of Magdag rule a nation of slaves? As Prescot waits in limbo for the outcome of the battle, his one hope is that the task will take him nearer to his Princess, the lovely Delia, from whom the Star Lords snatched him so long ago...' From the back cover 1973. 192 pages 40p UK cover price The second book of the 'Dray Prescot Series' (there are thirty-seven in all!), Suns of Scorpio is a quick and bloody affair with tons of swordplay, seafaring, and a few naked ladies thrown in for good measure. Cinemax should option this book series for an ongoing late night affair. Suns of Scorpio is well written, but heavily referential to its predecessor Transit to Scorpio, so a bit of editing or maybe even a glossary would help to make it more cohesive. All in all, though, I enjoyed this bad boy. Protagonist Dray Prescot is your prototypical pulp sci-fi hero—whisked away from Earth by the capricious 'Star Lords' to the world of Kregan (Two suns! Beast people!) and given no direction, Dray quickly finds himself enslaved by the Magdag, an evil northern island empire that worships the green sun of Grondo. The Magdag are endlessly building shrines to their brutal deity, which is where our main man finds himself at work. Eventually, Dray's mercurial temperament finds him at odds with some fristles (half cat people) who ambush him and leave him for dead where the slave galleys are kept. Mistaken for a Galley slave, Dray is press ganged onto the crew of the 'Grace of Grondo' and nearly worked to death. He creates a bond with his fellow oar mates, and they watch out for each other, as many around them are worked or beaten to death on the Galley. One of Dray's oar mates is flogged to death right next to him, which enrages our hero to the point where he frees himself and begins killing crew of the galley. Just as things seem to be taking a turn for the worse, a ship from Sanurkazz, bitter enemies of Magdag, overtakes the vessel and joins the fight—eventually freeing the slaves and enslaving the captives. Dray joins the Sanurkazz Navy, and even begins worshipping their benevolent god Zair (of the red sun) while amassing power and fortune. Oh yeah, he also bangs his buddy Zorg's hot widow. So, this is the basic formula for this book—Dray is captured, faces insurmountable odds, chops off a bunch of limbs, is rescued by the enemies of his enemies, then flourishes in their culture for a time. Mr. Prescot also has sex with, or at least has the opportunity to have sex with, whatever beautiful royal women happen to be around. This all sounds very shallow and ridiculous, but the pacing of Suns of Scorpio has a very serial feel, which lends itself well to an action sci-fi novel. My main gripe is that Akers basically assumes that you have read the previous entry in the series, which I haven’t. Character names from the previously novel are dropped piecemeal with almost no explanation or relevance throughout the book. Hell, we don’t find out until three quarters into this novel that in Transit to Scorpio Dray had bathed in a sacred pool, rendering him immortal. But, these are small gripes for a fun novel that, less than two hundred pages, is full of gore and boobs

On the gold-symbol world of Beresford's Planet, Richard Kirby lived in total luxury. As a member of "The Set" his life was a never-ending round of planetary party-hopping. The only restriction imposed on him - that he never put down on any world marked with a red or black symbol - was something that he had always accepted without question. That is, until his brother Alec was murdered in cold blood! Alec had been an undercover agent to those forbidden planets, and in order to avenge him, Kirby had to find out for himself what was really happening there. But with the start of his investigation, Kirby found out quickly that the authorities meant business when they said "Hands off!" The secret they were protecting was of vital importance, and it now became a matter of life and death, not only to Kirby, but to all the inhabitants of THE CHANGELING WORLDS


The Keys To Irunium (Keys to the Dimensions, #2) / The Wandering Tellurian

and No Country for Old Men by

 Mission to another dimension. 

By Bulmer
Would his super-weapons help backward planets? By Schwartz
 

Bruno Di Giandomenico rated it 2 of 5 stars  (men who can travel between dimensions in parallel universes, well it not so uncommon, but it could have been played better) but the whole concept and book is rather confused, what with all the character which we come to know only briefly and the change of scenario, from one Earth to Irunium, where there are jungkemind, and wild tres, and sort of roman civilisation, all too compressed in about a hundred pages. It is a quick romp from an old aircraft (it was new at the time of writing, but now Tristar are 50 years old now) to Rome and some shady character who are always in a hurry but do not explain anything, to another world of giant forest and medieval people and imported cars. Bah, not so good, not even for a juvenilia, today.

dimarts, 23 de setembre de 2014

UNDER SATAN'S SUN ....SOUS LE SOLEIL VON SATAN ...ET ON A DÉDUITE QUE LA TEMPERATURE DU SOLEIL EST DE 6200º C CETTE FORMIDABLE ÉMISSION DE ENERGIE - LA THÉORIE DE LÍNÉRTIE DE L'ÉNERGIE (ALBERT EINSTEIN 1905, PAUL LANGEVIN 1911) C'EST LA MASSE DU SOLEIL ELLE-MÊME QUI SE TRANSFORME EN RAYONNEMENT NOTRE ÉTOILE À CHAQUE SECONDE SE DÉBARRASSE AINSI DE HUITE MILLIONS DE TONNES DE SA PROPRE SUBSTANCE 1 DIX MILLIARDIÉME DE SA MASSE EST PERDU EN CHAQUE MILLÉNAIRE

CHAQUE CENTIMÉTRE CARRÉ DE CETTE SPHERE EST TRAVERSÉ PAR UNE 

PUISSANCE DE 0,142 27 WATT LES ESPACES INTERPLANÉTAIRES 

SONT PRATIQUEMENT TRANSPARENTS 

LEUR ABSORPTION C'EST NÉGLIGEABLE 

ON CONNAIS PLUS DE 30 000 ÉTOILES DOUBLES

the existence of evil as a spiritual force and its dramatic role in human destiny. 
This haunting novel follows the fortunes of a young, gauche, and fervent Catholic priest who is a misfit in the world and in his church, creating scandal and disharmony wherever he turns. His insight into the inner lives of others and his perception of the workings of Satan in the everyday are gifts that fatefully come

dilluns, 22 de setembre de 2014

VALUE AND DISTRIBUTION- AN HISTORICAL, CRITICAL, AND CONSTRUCTIVE STUDY IN ECONOMIC THEORY ADAPTED FOR ADVANCED AND POST-GRADUATE WORK BY CHARLES WILLIAM MACFARLANE, PH.D. SECOND EDITION PHILADELPHIA J. B. LIPP1NCOTT COMPANY 1911 COPYRIGHT, 1898, BY J. B. LIPPINCOTT COMPANY. MAIN LIBRARY ELECTROTYPED AND PRINTED BY J. B. LIPPINCOTT COMPANY, PHILADELPHIA, U.S. A. THIS BOOK IS GRATEFULLY DEDICATED TO MY FRIEND AND FORMER PRECEPTOR DR. EUGEN VON PHILIPPOV1CH PROFESSOR OF POLITICAL ECONOMY IN THE UNIVERSITY OF VIENNA WHO, WHILE IN NO WAY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE OPINIONS HEREIN EXPRESSED, MAY YET FIND IN THEM SOME REFLEC- TION OF HIS OWN CATHOLIC VIEW OF ECONOMIC PHENOMENA last quarter Q the nineteenth century has 1 witnessed more than one noteworthy advance in economic theory. Some of this work has been embodied in permanent form, as in the publications of the Austrian school of economists ; much of it, however, is scattered through various magazines and journals, and its importance is unrecognized because no effort has as yet been made to bring it together as a coherent whole. One of the purposes of the present volume is to give more permanent form to this scattered work and to bring it, as well as that of the Austrian economists, into some sort of co- relation with the work of the so-called orthodox school of economists. Again, it will be found that in the endeavor to give coherence to the work of previous writers certain concepts or theories are de- veloped that have not been clearly stated elsewhere, concepts which more or less seriously modify the hitherto accepted views of value and distribution. The fact from which all studies of distribution must start is the price of commodities, and what we have to determine is how this price is divided among the several parties to the transaction. From this it follows that any adequate study of distribution must be prefaced by an examination of the phe- nomena of value and price. In keeping with this I have devoted the first part of the present volume to an attempt to answer the vexed question, What do we mean by value and price ? In the discussion of the problem of distribution, the question of the equity of the distribution has been consciously arid purposely avoided. The im- portance of this phase of the subject cannot well be exaggerated ; but the laws according to which the social product is distributed should first be clearly defined before we attempt to determine whether or not this distribution is equitable. Nothing is gained either by confounding the two problems or by in- verting the order of the inquiry. In the present volume I shall strictly confine myself to the first of these problems, or to a purely theoretic study of the laws under which the several shares in distri- bution are determined. In the earlier days of the present investigation I regarded it strictly as a monograph, and addressed myself to those who are familiar with the whole range of economic theory. As the work progressed, however, it seemed that by some modifications and additions it might be made available for the ordinary advanced student or for those who had only been over the ground covered by the usual text-book. With this larger audience in mind, I was persuaded to adopt the topical form for the presentation of the subject. The shifting from one audience to another during the progress of the work has re- sulted in an unevenness which could only be elimi- nated by a careful rewriting of the entire book. The pressure of other interests renders this practi- cally impossible. In the desire to secure a clear and coherent view of a rather wide range of economic phenomena, I have been compelled to ignore many details whose discussion, though interesting and important, might confound the reader, or at least obscure his view of the main lines of the argument. Again, it may be that a greater wealth of illustrations would have helped rather than hindered the argument. If so, it is an omission which the intelligent teacher can readily supply.

THE COST THEORY OP VALUE. 

I. THE EARLIER COST THEORY. 

1. Paradoxes of value explained by the Cost Theory 20 

2. Free goods eliminated from economic 
consideration 20 

3. Scarcity goods eliminated because of their rare occurrence ... 21 

4. The Law of Cost only applicable to freely reproducible goods . 21 

II. THE MARGINAL COST THEORY. 

5. The graphical representation of Marginal Cost Theory .... 22 

6. Ricardo's statement of the Marginal Cost Theory . . . 

CHAPTER II. 

CONDITIONS UNDER WHICH THE COST THEORY 

FAILS. 
 CASES IN WHICH THE CONTENTION OF THE AUSTRIANS 

FAILS. 

9. Marginal Cost Theory holds for Products of 
Better Land, etc. So far as the products of better 
land, greater skill, or more efficient machines are 
concerned, the case against the cost theory fails the 
moment that it is recognized that it is marginal cost 
that determines value. Ricardo in admitting that 
the products of the better land are exceptions to the 
law of cost lost sight of the fact that it is marginal 
cost that determines price. 

10. Marginal Cost Theory holds for Products of 
Fixed Capital. While the employment of machinery 
or other fixed capital tells very seriously against a 
labor theory of value, it does not necessarily tell 
against a cost theory of value if it is admitted that 
abstinence is a disutility or cost. Ricardo's state- 
ment of the case is certainly open to this interpreta- 
tion. He writes : " Mr. Mai thus seems to think that
it is part of my doctrine that the cost and the value 
of a thing should be the same ; it is, if he means by 
cost, cost of production including profits/'* 

III. CASES IN WHICH THE CONTENTION OF THE AUSTRIANS 
MAY BE SUSTAINED. 

11. Patents, Tariffs, etc. In a more recent publi- 
cation f Bohm-Bawerk seems to have realized the 
weakness of his argument upon the two points just 
mentioned (goods produced by means of fixed capital 
or on the more fertile lands, etc.). In his restate- 
ment of the case against the cost theory he confines 
himself to those instances where the freedom of com- 
petition is interfered with by patents, tariff laws, etc. 
He writes : " There are at the present time very few 
products in which some patented machine or process 
or some import duty on raw or auxiliary material 
does not play a part." 

In other words, he contends, and rightly, that 
scarcity goods are the rule ; that competition at the 
margin is frequently interfered with by patent, im- 
port duty, etc. ; that non-competing groups among 
producers do exist ; that the marginal producer fre- 
quently secures a surplus above his cost, and, hence, 
that even marginal disutility must fail 
as the ultimate standard of value. 
Bohm-Bawerk does not 
state the case in just this way, but the most cursory 
examination of his article on " The Ultimate Stand- 
ard of Value" will show that in this later contribu- 
tion he ignores all portions of the product that are 
produced under specially advantageous circumstances, 
and confines himself to showing the frequent occur- 
rence of those monopoly or scarcity goods in the pro- 
duction of which the marginal producer secures a 
surplus over and above all cost, either in labor or 
abstinence. It is important that this point in the 
argument should be clearly apprehended, for in 
another chapter I shall endeavor to show that the 
marginal utility theory fails for much the same 
reason, to wit, that in many instances the marginal 
consumer secures a surplus. 
 Additional Exceptions. To this admitted list 
of exceptions Bohm-Bawerk 
adds all goods produced under the protection 
of a patent, coypright, or 
tariff, and then, as though this list of exceptions was 
not sufficient, Bohm-Bawerk calls attention to the 
fact that even those goods which are ordinarily re- 
garded as freely reproducible are only so for the 
brief interval during which their price is at the 
normal point. At all other times or during their 
fluctuations on either side of this normal point their 
price is determined under monopoly conditions.* 

* Much confusion has arisen in the use of the phrase free 
competition. Thus, it is held by many that free competition 
prevails wherever there is no legal or other external restric- 
tions on trade. It is manifest, however, that quite inde- 
pendent of such external restrictions there may be an inter- 
ference with the freedom of competition. It will hardly be 
claimed that a handicapped man is competing freely, or that 
the lame and the halt compete freely with those who are fleet 
of foot, or, again, that the ignorant and the weak compete 
freely with the cunning and the powerful. What, then, do 
we mean by free competition ? If we take the case of any 
pronounced monopoly good, we find that its price varies more 
or less widely from the normal price. From this we are led 
to conclude that any good whose price varies from the normal 
is a monopoly or scarcity good, whether the variation is 
large or small, or is maintained for a long or short interval. 
It follows from this that so-called freely reproducible goods 
are in reality scarcity goods, except during the interval that 
their price is at the normal point. Here, then, is the ultimate 
test of free competition, the existence of normal price, or 
the existence of those conditions in which marginal utility 
and marginal disutility are equal. Any departure from the 
normal or any failure in the equating of utility and disutility 
implies the existence of a marginal surplus; and the exist- 
ence of such a surplus indicates that there is some interference 
with the freedom of competition. .
 
The cause of the failure of the earlier advocates 
of the utility theory is now manifest. They did not 
even see the real difficulty that confronted them ; 
did not recognize the fact that in the consumption 
of a given commodity a number of different utilities 
are developed. It therefore never occurred to them 
to ask the interesting question, Which of these 
utilities is it that determines the value of the commodity ? . 

Hell is that state where one has ceased to hope.” ― A.J. Cronin, The Keys of the Kingdom Some temptations cannot be fought. One must close one's mind and fly from them Considered a failure by his superiors, he is sent to China to maintain a mission amid desperate poverty, civil war, plague, and the hostility of his superiors. In the face of this constant danger and hardship, Father Chisholm finds the keys to the kingdom of heaven.

“Even if my country remains in war with yours. . .remember. . . i am not your enemy.”

 That is life...to begin again when everything is lost!'" -- p. 219

"...his second thought was that there could be no greater happiness than to work -- much with his hands, a little with his head, but mostly with his heart -- and to live, simply, like this, close to the earth which, to him, never seemed far from heaven." -- p. 230

"The priest's heart glowed. Dear Lord, he thought, kindness and toleration -- with these two virtues how wonderful Thy earth would be!" -- p. 240

"Clumsily, a stiff ungainly figure, he knelt down, and begged God to judge him less by his deeds than by his intention." -- p. 319

"'Once, many years ago...I was unaware of the nature of your life...of its patience, quietness, and courage. The goodness of a religion is best judged by the goodness of its adherents. My friend...you have conquered me by example.

 moralism weakening with hollywood soaps

give a movie with Gregory Peck in 44...



diumenge, 21 de setembre de 2014

ROM OR ASIA MINOR. Biiad-ar-Rum or the Greek country. The line of fortresses from Malatiyah to Tarsus. The two chief passes across the Taurus. The Constantinople high road by the Cilician Gates. Trebizond. Three sieges of Constantinople. Moslem raids into Asia Minor. The sack of Amorion by Mu'tasim. Invasion of Asia Minor by the Saljuks. The kingdom of Little Armenia. The Crusaders. The chief towns of the Saljuk Sultanate of Rum ROM (continued}. The ten Turkoman Amirates. Ibn Batutah and Mustawfi. Kaysariyah and Sivas. The Sultan of Mesopotamia. The Amtr of Karaman. KCmiyah. The Amir of Tekkeh, 'Alaya, and Antaliyah. The Amir of Hamid, Egridur. The Amir of Germiyan, Kutahiyah, and Sivri-Hisar. The Amtr of Mentesha, Milas. The Amir of Aydin, Ephesus, and Smyrna. The Amir of Sarukhan, Magnesia. The Amir of Karasi, Pergamos. The *Othmanli territory, Brusa. The Amir of Kizil Ahmadli, Sinub THE LANDS OF THE EASTERN CALIPHATE Mesopotamia, Persia, and Central Asia from the Moslem conquest to the time of Timur G.spot LE STRANGE a STRANGE GUY ...JURJAN DONDE OS JURCHENOS ACABARAM COM BIZÂNCIO which included the valleys watered by the rivers Atrak and Jurjan, on which last stood Jurjan city. The Jurj&n province extended eastward from the Caspian Sea to the desert which separated Khurasan from the cultivated lands of the Oxus delta, namely the province of Khwarizm. The modern province of Khurisan is but a moiety of the great tract of country which, from Abbasid times down to the later middle-ages, was known under this name ; for Khurdsan of those days included what is now become the north-western part of Afghanistan. On the east, medieval Khurasan bordered on Badakhshan, its northern frontier was the Oxus and the desert of Khwarizm. The Moslem geographers divided Khuriisan into four quarters, named after its four capital cities; viz. Nishapur, Mary, Herat, and Balkh. From a physical point of view the remarkable feature of Khurasan consisted in the two great rivers of Herat and of Marv, which rising in the mountains of what is now Afghanistan, turned north and flowed out to waste in the sands of the desert towards Khwarizm, reaching no sea or lake. The chapter following deals with the upper waters of the Oxus, and a number of small provinces, stretching from Badakhshan westwards, which lie to the north, on the right bank affluents of the great river. Its delta, forming the province of Khwarizm to the south of the Aral Sea, is next described, of which Urganj was the older capital, and in this chapter some pages are devoted to clearing up the much debated subject of the older course of the Oxus to the Caspian. Beyond the great river, and between the Oxus and the Jaxartes, lay the province of Sughd, the ancient Sogdiana, with its two noble cities, Samarkand and Bukhara, both on the Sughd river. This is the penultimate chapter of the present work ; and the last chapter deals with the provinces along the Jaxartes, from Farghanah near the borders of the Chinese deserts, of which the capital was Akhsikath, to Shash, modern Tashkand, with the Isbijab province to the north-west, beyond which the Jaxartes flowed out, through the bleak wilderness, into the upper part of the Aral Sea. Of these northern countries of the Further East, however, lying beyond Central Asia, the earlier Arab geographers give but a succinct account. They were the Turk lands, and it was only after the Mongol invasion that they ROSE IN IMPORTANCE The Swamps were called Al-Bataih (the plural form of Al- Batihah^ signifying a ' lagoon ') and their history has been already described (p. 26). The whole area covered by them was dotted with towns and villages, each standing on its canal, and though the climate was very feverish the soil, when drained, was most fertile. Ibn Rustah writing at the close of the 3rd (9th) century describes the Great Swamp as everywhere covered by reed-beds, intersected by water channels, where immense quantities of fish were caught, which, after being salted, were despatched to all the neighbouring provinces. In regard to the Tigris waters, it appears that from Katr eastward and probably following, approximately, the line of the present channel of the Euphrates the waterway led through a succession of open lagoons to the Abu-1-Asad canal, by which the waters of the swamp drained out to the Basrah estuary. These lagoons of open water, clear of reeds, were called Hawr or Hawl by the Arabs, and the lagoons were connected by channels navigable for small boats. The great river barges...Ibn Hawkal describes Bam in the 4th (loth) century as larger and healthier than Jiruft, the town being surrounded by palm-groves. Near by stood the celebrated castle of Bam, held to be impregnable, and there were three mosques, the Masjid-al-Khawirij, the Mosque of the Clothiers (Al-Bazzaztn), and the Castle Mosque. Cotton stuffs were largely manufactured here and exported ; also napkins, the cloths for turbans, and the scarfs for head-wear known as Taylasan. Mukaddasi records that the city wall, which made a strong fortification, had four gates, namely, Bab Narmasir, Bab Kftskn, Bib Asblkan, and Bib Kfirjin. There were great markets both within the city and outside in the suburbs, while on the river which passed by the castle was the market of the Jarjin bridge. A celebrated bath- house stood in the Willow street (Zufcak-al-Bidh). A league distant from Bam was the mountain called Jabal Kfld, where there were mills, surrounded by a large village, and where much cloth was manufactured. Mustawfi in the 8th (i4th) century still refers to the strong castle of Bam, and speaks of its climate as rather hot KHURASAN OBAMA SAN confectioners here made divers kinds of the so-called 'honey' from grapes and figs, as well as a preserve of pomegranate kernels. Syrups and clarified butter were largely exported; and in the neighbourhood were mines of lead, vitriol, and arsenic. The incense of Balkh too was famous, and its turmeric,- unguents, and preserves. From it came hides and cloaks, and from Tirmidh, across the Oxus, soap and assafoetida. As coming from Warwalij towards Badakhshan, Mukaddasi gives a long list of fruits, such as nuts, almonds, pistachios, and pears. Rice and sesame too were largely traded, also various cheeses and clarified butter, and finally horns and furs, more especially fox-skinsIn the matter of trade, the province of Jazirah or Upper Mesopotamia produced little. Mukaddasf gives us a list and the items are chiefly the natural products of the land Mosul, the capital, exported grain, honey, charcoal, cheese, butter, the sumach fruit and pomegranate pips, manna, salted meat, and the tirrikh fish; also iron, and for artificers 7 work knives, arrows, chains, and goblets. The district of Sinjar produced almonds, pome- granates, sumach fruit, and sugar-cane; Nasibin, walnuts; Rakkah, olive oil, soap, and reeds for pens. Rahbah was famous for its quinces; Harran for its honey and the preserve called Kubbayt ; Jazirah Ibn 'Omar for nuts, almonds, and butter, also excellent horses were reared on its pastures. Hasaniyah on the Little KMbtir (on the east bank of the Tigris) produced cheese, partridges, fowls, and fruit preserve ; the neighbouring Ma'alathaya, charcoal, grapes and other fresh fruits, salted meat, hemp seed and hemp stuffs ; and finally Amid in Diyar Bakr was famous for its woollen and linen fabrics

The naphtha spring of KhnikIn
 is at the modern Naft Khanah
 The provinces of the Byzantine empire were known 
collectively 
to the Moslems as Bilad-ar-Rum, 'the Lands of the Greeks'; 
the term 'Rum' standing for the Romaioi or Romans,
 being in 
early Moslem times the equivalent for ' Christian,'
 whether Greek 
or Latin. The Mediterranean too, was generally 
known as the 
Bahr-ar-Rum, 'the Roman Sea.' Then Bilad-ar-Rum, 
abbreviated 
to Rum, in course of time came more 
especially to be the name of 
the Christian provinces nearest to the Moslem frontier, 
and hence 
became the usual Arab name for Asia Minor,
 which great province 
at the close of the 5th (nth) century finally
 passed under the rule 
of Islam when it was overrun by the Saljuks. 
 The Moslems, by the injunction of their Prophet, were bound 
each, once in a lifetime, to make the pilgrimage to Mecca. 
Under the Abbasids, when the Moslem empire reached its fullest 
extent, the pilgrimage was facilitated by the elaborate system of 
high roads, all made to radiate from Baghdad, where the Tigris 
was crossed by those coming from the further east and bound 
for the Hijaz. Of this road system (which the Arabs had in- 
herited from the earlier Persian kingdom) we possess detailed 
contemporary descriptions ; and the chief lines, running through 
the provinces named in the foregoing paragraphs, may here be 
summarily described. 

The most famous of the trunk roads was the great Khurasan 
road, which, going east, united the capital with the frontier towns 
of the Jaxartes on the borders of China. This, too, is perhaps that 
which of all the roads is best described. Leaving East Baghdad by 
the Khurasan gate, it went across the plain, passing over numerous 
streams by well-built bridges, to Hulwan at the foot of the pass 
leading up to the highlands of Persia. Here it entered the Jibal 
province and after a steep ascent reached Kirmanshah, the capital 
of Kurdistan. 
Crossing the Jibal province diagonally, northeast, 
the road passed through Ramadan to Ray. 
From Ray 
onwards it went almost due east through Kumis, FERMENTED 
MILK CITY... having the 
Tabaristan mountains on the left, and the^ Great Desert on the 
south, till it entered the province of Khurasan near the town of 
Bistam. Continuing onwards it came to Nishapur, then to Tus, 
and on to Marv, beyond which it crossed the desert to the 
Oxus bank at Amul, thence reaching successively Bukhara and 
Samarkand in the province of Sughd. At Zamin a short 
distance east of Samarkand, the road bifurcated: on the left 
hand one road proceeded to Shash (Tashkand) and ultimately to 
the ford at Utrar on the lower course of the Jaxartes ; the other 
road, leaving Zamin, turned off to the right, towards Farghanah 
and the Upper Jaxartes, coming to Akhsikath the capital, and 
finally to Uzkand on the borders of the Chinese desert. 
 
Rtid, both of which streams flowed 
into the Caspian. The most 
notable natural feature of this province 
was the great salt lake, 
now known as the lake of Urmiyah, 
near which stood Tabriz 
and Marighah, the provincial capitals, 
while Ardabil, another 
great town, lay to the eastward nearer the shore of the Caspian. 
The chapter following describes a number of smaller provinces of 
the nprth-western border. First GilAn, or Jilan, 
on the Caspian, 
where the Safid, breaking through the Alburz range, the 
mountain barrier of the Persian highlands, flows through an 
alluvial plain of its own making, pushing out a small delta into 
the Caspian. Next, the province of Mughin at the mouth of the 
combined Araxes and Cyrus rivers; then Arran lying to the 
westward between the courses of these two rivers ; with Shirvin 
to the north of the Cyrus, and Gurjistin (Georgia) at its head 
waters. Lastly we have Moslem Armenia lying at the head 
waters of the Araxes, which is the mountainous province sur- 
rounding the lake of Van. 

South-east of Adharbayjan spreads the rich province of Media, 
which the Arabs very appropriately called Al-Jibal, 'the moun- 
tains/ for its mountains overhang the lowlands of Lower 
Mesopotamia, and, range behind range, stretch across eastward to 
the border of the Great Desert of Central Persia. The western 
part of the Jibal province, in later times, when the Kurds 
attained fame and power, came to be known as Kurdistin ; and 
in the later middle-ages, but by a misnomer, as will be explained 
in due course, the province of Al-Jibal was often called 'IraK 
'Ajami, or Persian, in contrast to Arabian 'Irik, which was 
Lower Mesopotamia. The Jibal province included many great 
cities; in the west Kirmanshah and HamadAn
 (the latter the ancient Ecbatana) ; 
in the north-east Ray (Rhages), and to the 
south-east Ispahan. 
At a later period the Mongols of Persia 
founded SultArityah in its northern plains, 
which for a time taking 
the place of Baghdad, became the capital 
of this portion of their empire, 
which included both Mesopotamia and Persia 
In the mountains of the Jibdl province 
many rivers take their rise, among the rest 
the KirQn, which the 
Arabs called Dujayl or Little Tigris, 
and which after a long and 
tortuous course flows out at the head of the 
Persian Gulf, a little 
  
to the east of the combined mouth of the Euphrates
 and 
Tigris. 

The province of Khftzistin, lying south of Media and east of 
Lower Mesopotamia, occupies the lower course of the Kirtin 
river, or Dujayl, with its numerous affluents. This country was 
extremely rich; Tustar and Ahwiz were its chief towns; and its 
lands being plentifully irrigated were most productive. East of 
KMzistin, and bordering the Gulf, lay the great province of Firs, 
the ancient Persis and the cradle of the Persian monarchy. Under 
the Abbasids it still kept the division into the five Ktirahs, or 
districts, which had been organized under the Sassanians, and 
Firs was closely studded with towns, great and small, the most 
important of which were Shiriz the capital, Istakhr (Persepolis), 
Yazd, Arrajin, and Dirabjird. The islands of the Gulf were 
counted as of Firs, and Kays island was in important commercial 
centre before the rise of Hurmuz. The chief physical feature of 
Firs was the great salt lake of Bakhtigan, which with other smaller 
sheets of water stood in the broad highland valleys, whose 
mountains were offsets of the ranges in the Jibal province, 
already referred to. In Firs, the Darabjird district under the 
Mongols came to be counted as a separate province, and was 
in the ?th (isth) century called Shabinkirah ; the Yazd district 
also, in the later middle-ages, was given to the Jibal province. 

To the east of Firs lay the province of Kirmin, far less fertile, 
almost lacking in rivers, and bordering on the Great Desert. Of 
this province there were two capitals in Abbasid times, Sirjan and 
Kirman city ; and the two other most important towns of the 
province were Hurmuz, on -the coast ; and Jiruft, inland, a centre 
of much commerce. The Great Desert of Central Persia is the 
most remarkable physical feature of the high tableland of trin. 
This immense salt waste stretches south-east diagonally across 
Persia, from Ray, at the base of the mountains which on their 
northern side overlook the Caspian, spreading in a broad band 
or rather, in a dumb-bell-shaped depression the lower end of 
which merges into the hills of Makrin, the province bordering on 
the Indian Ocean. In the Great Desert there are few oases; 
a salt efflorescence covers much of the barren levels, but the 
desert in winter time is not difficult to pass, and many well
 marked tracks connect the towns on either side. But on the 
other hand the Great Desert is a real barrier to any continuous 
intercourse between the provinces of Firs and Kirm&n, which lie 
on its south-western side, and the eastern provinces which are 
beyond its other limit, namely Khurasan with Sfstan to the south- 
east, and this desert barrier has played an important part all 
through the history of Persia. After describing what the Moslem 
geographers have to say of the Great Desert, the same chapter 
deals with the Maknin province, which on the east touched India, 
running up to the highlands overlooking the Indus valley, part of 
which -is now known as BalQchistin. On these regions, however, 
our authorities are not very fully informed. 

North of Makran, and across the narrow part of the desert 
opposite Kirmin, lay the province of Sijistan or Stst&n, to the 
east of the extensive, but very shallow lake of Zarah. Into this 
lake drained the waters of the Helmund, and numerous other 
rivers flowing south-west from the high mountains of Afghanistan 
lying above Klbul and Ghaznah. Here Kandahar stood in a 
plain between two of the affluents of the Helmund, and where 
this great river flowed into the Zarah lake lay Zaranj, the capital 
of Sijistan. North-west of the Zarah lake, and on the border of 
the Great Desert, was the very hilly province aptly called Ktihisdin 
(Land of Mountains), the chief towns of which were Tftn and 
Klyin, well known as the Tunocain of Marco Polo ; Sijistan and 
Kflhistin thus forming the southern border of Khuris^n, the great 
eastern province of Persia. 

Before describing this last, however, the three small provinces 
of Ktimis, Tabaristin and Jurjin, which form the subject of the 
succeeding chapter, require notice. Kfimis, of which the capital 
was Damghln, lay in length along the north border of the Great 
Desert eastward of Ray, comprising the southern foot-hills of the 
mountain chain of Alburz which shuts off the high plateau of 
Persia from the Caspian Sea. These mountains, and more 
particularly their northern flank descending to the Caspian, 
formed the province of Tabarist&n, otherwise called Mzandarin, 
which extended from Gtlin and the delta of the White River 
(Saftd-Rftd), on the west, to the south-eastern corner of the 
Caspian. Here Tabaristin joined GurgAn, the ancient
HIRCANIA 

STERLING É NOME IMPORTADO POR VIA DUNS ESTÓNIOS MERCADORES NAMED EASTERLING QUE ERAM MAIS MEGALOMANÍACOS QUE OS MOUROS QUE DAVAM À COSTA E GRAVAVAM O SEU SANCTUM NOMINE IN SILVER BARS E STERLING TOMOU O SENTIDO DE PURO DE NOBRE DE QUALIDADE GRAÇAS AOS MERCADORES TEREM BONS PROVEDORES DE OPINIÃO...JÁ LORD STERLING É DOS LIVROS MAIS CHATOS QUE O CLONE DO JOSÉ MOURINHO OU DO JOSÉ RODRIGUES DOS SANTOS DEU AO MUNDO ...Our modern world has stripped men of their designed roles as protectors and leaders of their families. Men have natural built-in drives to fulfill those roles. Unfortunately they have been told they need to be more gentle, more passive and ultimately less of the man God intended them to be. Today God needs real men who will accept the responsibility of living right and leading others to God's righteousness. They need to be bold worshipers of "The Great Light," and examples for their families and friends. Sterling spoke, "As I grew, I missed many of the things young people do. I was determined to be the best soldier ever known. And I did whatever was necessary to be known. I began to search for battles wherever I could find them. Because of my size, I was expected to fight well. In the heart of a young man there is nothing more powerful than to rise to the expectations of those around him. I, many times, took when I should have given and pressed when I should have paused. As you have said, Dutch, I have made a name for myself, but to what end? I love not, and am unloved. I protect not, and find I am unprotected. My fame shadows me like a demon of old. I feel I have yet another battle to join, but my fate is undetermined. But here I am." "A man's greatness is not only in his deeds," spoke Dutch, "but in how he lives with those deeds thereafter." 356 pages OF BORING GORE BORE

OS MERCADORES MANDAVAM MONEY TO LONDON IN THE XVIII CENTURY FOX

TO BE PUT OR PUT IN STERLING 

HELD ON STERLING BOYS 

AND THE NAME FOI FICANDO

TO THE COIN IN SILVER TERMS 

11 OUNCES 2 DRAMSWEIGHT OF SILVER WAS 20 SHILLINGS THRUPPENCE 

SIR ISAAC NEWTON MASTER OF THE MINT

UMA SINECURA REAL QUE A GENTE APOSTA QUE DÁ EM MOURO DA COSTA 

INVENTOU EM 1717  THE GUINEA 

THE KEY CURRENCY OF THE UNITED KINGDOM 

IS A ISAAC NEWTON INVENTION 

IT HOLDS VALUE ( NÃO DESVALORIZA)

THE GUINÉU VALENDO 21 SHILLINGS WORTH 129.4 GRAMS OF GOLD...

James Crawford Master of the Mint at Carson City: A Short Full Life the fourth Superintendent of the Carson City Mint (1874-1885) traces Crawford's life from his birth in Kentucky; to his formative years in Illinois; to his prospecting years in California's Gold Rush Country; to his early years in Nevada's Lyon County; culminating in his tenure at the Carson City Mint. The book provides a panoramic view of the sweeping history of Nevada's connection to California's Gold Rush era; with an in-depth look into life in the Silver State's northwestern region from 1863 to 1885. Filled with never-before-presented facts about James Crawford and the Carson City Mint, the 650-page book is linked TO THE NINE ELEVEN IN HORROR POTENTIAL with ALL GORE stories about some of Nevada's most prominent historical figures and many contemporary events occurring in the United States and contains hundreds of references to coins struck at the Carson City Mint.